Irlanda del Norte U18 vs Gales U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
44.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+160%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irlanda del Norte U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1987 |
SCO
2 - 2
NIR
80%
14%
6%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1986 |
NIR
2 - 4
NED
32%
26%
42%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1986 |
NIR
1 - 1
BEL
24%
29%
47%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1986 |
WAL
3 - 0
NIR
76%
16%
9%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1985 |
BEL
0 - 0
NIR
81%
13%
6%
|
21 | 52 | 31 | +1 |
Matches
Gales U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1987 |
SCO
1 - 1
WAL
57%
23%
19%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1986 |
BEL
2 - 0
WAL
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1986 |
NED
1 - 1
WAL
76%
14%
9%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1986 |
WAL
3 - 0
NIR
76%
16%
9%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1985 |
WAL
3 - 3
BEL
37%
28%
34%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +1 |