Irlanda del Norte U17 vs Inglaterra U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
73.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irlanda del Norte U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
EST
1 - 1
NIR
24%
23%
53%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
NIR
4 - 0
WAL
52%
24%
25%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
FRA
4 - 0
NIR
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
NIR
2 - 0
FRO
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
NIR
0 - 1
LUX
67%
20%
14%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Inglaterra U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
ENG
1 - 0
WAL
78%
15%
8%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ENG
2 - 0
EST
80%
13%
7%
|
62 | 32 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ENG
0 - 4
ESP
34%
25%
42%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
GEO
1 - 0
ENG
19%
22%
59%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
ENG
1 - 0
UKR
75%
15%
9%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |