Iraty vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
46.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2002 |
SAO
4 - 3
VIL
29%
25%
46%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2002 |
VIL
1 - 2
SAN
34%
26%
40%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2002 |
SAM
1 - 2
VIL
32%
25%
43%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2002 |
VIL
2 - 1
BRA
63%
20%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2002 |
AVA
3 - 0
VIL
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |