Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 6-5
Iraty vs Grêmio Barueri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
50.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraty
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
IRA
1 - 0
PAR
34%
25%
40%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 2
IRA
26%
24%
50%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
IRA
2 - 0
JMA
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
COT
5 - 0
IRA
77%
16%
7%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
CCR
0 - 3
IRA
36%
25%
40%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
TAU
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
LIN
0 - 1
GRÊ
33%
23%
44%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
TAB
2 - 4
GRÊ
14%
19%
68%
|
67 | 35 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
GRÊ
3 - 3
POR
37%
25%
38%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
JUV
4 - 1
GRÊ
14%
21%
65%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |