Iraty vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
60.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraty
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
ROM
2 - 0
IRA
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
IRA
1 - 2
CIA
50%
24%
27%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ACP
0 - 2
IRA
33%
25%
43%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
GRÊ
3 - 0
IRA
59%
22%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
OPE
2 - 1
IRA
35%
25%
39%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
ATP
1 - 1
JMA
82%
13%
5%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 2
ATP
9%
19%
72%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
ATP
3 - 1
RIO
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ATP
2 - 0
RIO
85%
12%
4%
|
80 | 47 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 1
ATP
29%
24%
47%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |