Irapuato vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
51.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
AME
1 - 0
IRA
69%
20%
12%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
IRA
2 - 0
TIG
21%
25%
54%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
MON
2 - 2
IRA
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
IRA
2 - 1
QRO
43%
26%
32%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
EST
1 - 3
IRA
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
TOL
2 - 0
QRO
81%
13%
7%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
MOR
1 - 2
TOL
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
TOL
1 - 1
PAC
78%
13%
9%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
JAG
0 - 1
TOL
22%
26%
51%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
TOL
3 - 4
ATL
73%
16%
12%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |