Irapuato vs Toluca Premier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
ORI
0 - 2
IRA
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
IRA
1 - 1
PUM
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
AME
0 - 0
IRA
26%
25%
49%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
IRA
3 - 0
IPC
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
JAG
0 - 2
IRA
42%
26%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
TOL
3 - 0
ZAC
32%
28%
41%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
CAN
1 - 0
TOL
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
TOL
1 - 2
ZAM
47%
27%
26%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
COC
1 - 0
TOL
63%
23%
15%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 2
CAZ
46%
28%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |