Irapuato vs Toluca Premier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
PDC
0 - 3
IRA
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
IRA
0 - 0
IPC
66%
20%
15%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
CAN
0 - 4
IRA
19%
22%
59%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
IRA
2 - 1
VER
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2018 |
JAS
4 - 5
IRA
24%
24%
53%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 2
IPC
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
VER
2 - 0
TOL
41%
27%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 2
CAZ
42%
28%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
JAG
2 - 1
TOL
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 1
PAC
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |