Irapuato vs Toluca Premier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
13%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
REB
1 - 1
IRA
28%
27%
45%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 4
IRA
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
IRA
0 - 1
QUE
66%
21%
14%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
PAC
2 - 0
IRA
21%
24%
55%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
IRA
1 - 2
TEM
54%
26%
21%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
TOL
4 - 1
LEO
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CAC
2 - 1
TOL
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 2
CAZ
29%
27%
44%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LOR
5 - 1
TOL
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
TOL
4 - 2
QUE
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |