Irapuato vs Sporting Canamy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
15%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
0
14.3%
5%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
10º
3º
9
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
23 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 18 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 18 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
IRA
6 - 0
COL
83%
14%
4%
|
75 | 34 | 41 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
COR
3 - 0
IRA
7%
16%
78%
|
75 | 42 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ADP
3 - 3
IRA
26%
25%
49%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
IRA
0 - 0
ADP
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
IRA
3 - 0
CIM
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Canamy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
CAN
3 - 1
HDZ
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
COL
2 - 1
CAN
28%
22%
51%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CAN
4 - 3
ZAC
26%
24%
50%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 2
CDC
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
PDC
3 - 3
CAN
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | +1 |