Irapuato vs Reboceros de la Piedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
3º
15º
4º
46
5º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
94% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
29% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 58 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
53 | 56 |
8º
|
44% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 55 |
9º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
10º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
46 | 49 |
11º
|
75.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
72% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 37 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 36 |
14º
|
39.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 32 |
15º
|
34% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 31 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
17º
|
89.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 9 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
92.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
7.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
DEV
3 - 2
IRA
13%
21%
66%
|
72 | 23 | 49 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
IRA
5 - 0
CAN
84%
12%
4%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
IPC
0 - 0
IRA
23%
24%
53%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
IRA
4 - 1
PDC
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
YFC
0 - 2
IRA
5%
14%
81%
|
72 | 41 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Reboceros de la Piedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
REB
4 - 0
TAM
24%
26%
50%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
DEV
2 - 1
REB
11%
20%
69%
|
56 | 22 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
REB
1 - 1
MON
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 0
REB
20%
25%
56%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
REB
0 - 1
ESC
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |