Irapuato vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
31.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LEO
1 - 1
IRA
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
IRA
1 - 0
MER
62%
22%
15%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
DOR
2 - 1
IRA
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
IRA
6 - 1
ALT
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
CAZ
1 - 0
IRA
38%
28%
35%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
NEC
1 - 0
PUM
64%
22%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
UDG
0 - 1
NEC
23%
29%
48%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
NEC
1 - 1
LOB
69%
21%
11%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
TOR
1 - 0
NEC
29%
31%
40%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
NEC
3 - 2
IND
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |