Irapuato vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
53.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
SNL
0 - 0
IRA
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
IRA
2 - 3
CHI
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
ATS
6 - 1
IRA
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
IRA
2 - 1
TOL
23%
26%
51%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
AME
1 - 0
IRA
69%
20%
12%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
CHI
2 - 3
NEC
41%
26%
34%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
NEC
1 - 0
TOL
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
TIG
2 - 1
NEC
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
NEC
1 - 0
QRO
64%
22%
15%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
MOR
3 - 3
NEC
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |