Irapuato vs Lobos ULMX analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
15%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
9.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
5º
3º
9
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 26 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
24 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 15 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 15 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 2
IRA
8%
18%
75%
|
73 | 42 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
COL
0 - 1
IRA
7%
17%
77%
|
73 | 38 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
IRA
1 - 0
COR
79%
15%
6%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
LEO
3 - 0
IRA
66%
19%
16%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
RVC
1 - 0
IRA
15%
23%
63%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Lobos ULMX
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LUL
2 - 0
COL
51%
20%
28%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
COR
0 - 0
LUL
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LUL
1 - 1
AGU
20%
21%
59%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LUL
2 - 1
CAN
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
IPC
1 - 0
LUL
70%
19%
12%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | 0 |