Irapuato vs Gavilanes Matamoros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
10º
3º
21
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
23 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
21 | 18 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 18 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
LUL
1 - 1
IRA
6%
15%
79%
|
75 | 41 | 34 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
IRA
3 - 2
CAN
81%
14%
5%
|
75 | 41 | 34 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
IRA
6 - 0
COL
83%
14%
4%
|
75 | 34 | 41 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
COR
3 - 0
IRA
7%
16%
78%
|
75 | 42 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ADP
3 - 3
IRA
26%
25%
49%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Gavilanes Matamoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
GAV
6 - 1
COL
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 36 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
COR
2 - 3
GAV
16%
22%
62%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
GAV
2 - 2
AGU
45%
26%
30%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
REB
2 - 2
GAV
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
COR
0 - 5
GAV
17%
23%
60%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |