Irapuato vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
GUE
1 - 3
IRA
18%
26%
56%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
IRA
4 - 0
VER
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
UDG
0 - 0
IRA
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
TIJ
0 - 0
IRA
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
NEC
3 - 1
IRA
64%
21%
14%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
DUR
2 - 3
NEC
23%
27%
51%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
DOR
0 - 1
DUR
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
DUR
2 - 2
CAZ
43%
27%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
MER
2 - 0
DUR
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
DUR
1 - 0
ORI
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |