Irapuato vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
LEO
1 - 0
IRA
55%
22%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
IRA
0 - 0
COR
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
IRA
1 - 1
TIG
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
MEX
3 - 0
IRA
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
IRA
2 - 1
CAO
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
DUR
1 - 0
TIG
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
MEX
3 - 0
DUR
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
DUR
2 - 1
CAO
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
IND
2 - 0
DUR
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
DUR
2 - 2
ZAC
66%
21%
14%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |