Irapuato vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
16.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
LEO
2 - 3
IRA
29%
25%
46%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
IRA
2 - 0
CAC
57%
23%
19%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ZAC
0 - 2
IRA
28%
25%
47%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
IRA
1 - 1
TOL
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
REB
1 - 1
IRA
28%
27%
45%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CAZ
2 - 3
PAC
72%
17%
11%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
LEO
3 - 0
CAZ
34%
27%
40%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
CAZ
1 - 2
TEM
44%
24%
32%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CAC
1 - 0
CAZ
41%
27%
33%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
CAZ
2 - 2
ZAM
51%
23%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |