Irapuato vs UA Tamaulipas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
5º
3º
11
8º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 26 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
24 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 15 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 15 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
LEO
3 - 0
IRA
66%
19%
16%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
RVC
1 - 0
IRA
15%
23%
63%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
IRA
2 - 1
RVC
72%
19%
9%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
IRA
2 - 0
ADP
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 41 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
ADP
1 - 2
IRA
16%
23%
61%
|
72 | 41 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
UA Tamaulipas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
COR
2 - 1
MIN
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
MIN
2 - 0
COR
33%
24%
44%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
COR
1 - 2
CFO
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
NAY
1 - 2
COR
27%
23%
50%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
COR
0 - 2
RAF
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |