Irapuato vs Colima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
18.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.5%
4%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
10º
3º
12
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
23 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 18 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 18 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
COR
3 - 0
IRA
7%
16%
78%
|
75 | 42 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ADP
3 - 3
IRA
26%
25%
49%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
IRA
0 - 0
ADP
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
IRA
3 - 0
CIM
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
CIM
1 - 0
IRA
35%
26%
40%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Colima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
COL
2 - 1
CAN
28%
22%
51%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 3
COL
24%
20%
56%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
COL
1 - 2
LEO
17%
23%
60%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
LCU
1 - 0
COL
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 58 | 25 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
COR
1 - 0
COL
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |