Premier de Ascenso - Clausura Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Irapuato vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2025 |
CIM
1 - 1
IRA
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
IRA
1 - 1
DUR
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
DUR
2 - 2
IRA
30%
25%
45%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
PDS
0 - 3
IRA
21%
24%
55%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
IPC
0 - 3
IRA
19%
23%
58%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2025 |
CIM
1 - 1
IRA
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
CIM
5 - 1
RVC
61%
24%
16%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
RVC
3 - 0
CIM
25%
26%
49%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CIM
4 - 0
MFC
68%
21%
11%
|
74 | 34 | 40 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
ADP
2 - 0
CIM
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |