Irán U21 vs Tayikistán U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
26.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irán U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
IRN
3 - 0
LTU
23%
23%
54%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
BLR
0 - 0
IRN
80%
14%
6%
|
24 | 67 | 43 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
GER
1 - 0
IRN
84%
11%
4%
|
24 | 79 | 55 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
UKR
2 - 1
IRN
79%
15%
7%
|
24 | 67 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Tayikistán U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BLR
2 - 0
TJK
78%
15%
7%
|
29 | 67 | 38 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
TJK
0 - 0
LTU
20%
23%
57%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | +1 |