Irán U21 vs Moldavia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
57.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irán U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
IRN
1 - 4
LVA
21%
23%
56%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
IRN
5 - 0
TJK
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
IRN
3 - 0
LTU
23%
23%
54%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | +6 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
BLR
0 - 0
IRN
80%
14%
6%
|
24 | 67 | 43 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
GER
1 - 0
IRN
84%
11%
4%
|
24 | 79 | 55 | 0 |
Matches
Moldavia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
RUS
2 - 1
MDA
82%
13%
6%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
MDA
2 - 1
KGZ
72%
19%
10%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
MDA
0 - 0
LVA
44%
25%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
UKR
1 - 0
MDA
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2011 |
POL
0 - 1
MDA
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |