Irán U21 vs Lithuania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
53.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irán U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
BLR
0 - 0
IRN
80%
14%
6%
|
24 | 67 | 43 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
GER
1 - 0
IRN
84%
11%
4%
|
24 | 79 | 55 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
UKR
2 - 1
IRN
79%
15%
7%
|
24 | 67 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
TJK
0 - 0
LTU
20%
23%
57%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
UKR
2 - 0
LTU
79%
15%
7%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
SVN
2 - 0
LTU
67%
19%
13%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
MLT
0 - 2
LTU
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2011 |
SWE
4 - 0
LTU
83%
12%
5%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |