Irán U21 vs Latvia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
55.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irán U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
IRN
5 - 0
TJK
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
IRN
3 - 0
LTU
23%
23%
54%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | +6 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
BLR
0 - 0
IRN
80%
14%
6%
|
24 | 67 | 43 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
GER
1 - 0
IRN
84%
11%
4%
|
24 | 79 | 55 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
UKR
2 - 1
IRN
79%
15%
7%
|
24 | 67 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Latvia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
UKR
2 - 0
LVA
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
MDA
0 - 0
LVA
44%
25%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
KGZ
2 - 3
LVA
18%
22%
60%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
LVA
0 - 6
SVK
20%
23%
57%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
ROU
2 - 0
LVA
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |