Ipswich Knights vs Peninsula Power analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
66.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
8%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipswich Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
LOG
5 - 0
IPS
67%
17%
16%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
EAS
5 - 0
IPS
68%
17%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
IPS
2 - 1
QUE
8%
13%
79%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | +4 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
HPH
5 - 0
IPS
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
IPS
0 - 4
MIT
20%
20%
61%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 0
UNI
76%
15%
10%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
WOL
0 - 4
PEN
46%
22%
32%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ROC
3 - 1
PEN
37%
24%
40%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
MIT
1 - 1
PEN
42%
22%
37%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
LOG
1 - 3
PEN
36%
21%
43%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +2 |