Ipswich Knights vs Peninsula Power analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
70.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipswich Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
LOG
2 - 3
IPS
69%
18%
14%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
IPS
0 - 0
PEN
24%
24%
52%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
BRI
1 - 0
IPS
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 56 | 39 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
BRI
1 - 4
IPS
83%
12%
5%
|
12 | 39 | 27 | +5 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
IPS
0 - 0
TAR
17%
23%
60%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
PEN
5 - 1
NOR
83%
11%
6%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
ROC
3 - 2
PEN
56%
21%
23%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 0
EAS
72%
16%
12%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
WOL
3 - 1
PEN
62%
19%
18%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
PEN
3 - 2
BRI
67%
18%
16%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |