Ipswich Knights vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
31.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipswich Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
GRA
2 - 2
IPS
60%
19%
21%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
IPS
3 - 1
EAS
21%
22%
57%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +3 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
QUE
1 - 2
IPS
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
IPS
2 - 2
HPH
19%
19%
63%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2017 |
MIT
1 - 2
IPS
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
LOG
2 - 1
UNI
37%
23%
40%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
ROC
3 - 0
LOG
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
LOG
0 - 3
ALB
50%
23%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
CAP
0 - 2
LOG
44%
22%
34%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2017 |
PEN
3 - 1
LOG
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |