Ipswich Knights vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
36.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipswich Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
EAS
3 - 0
IPS
65%
19%
16%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
CAP
2 - 3
IPS
63%
18%
18%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
IPS
2 - 6
PEN
13%
18%
69%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
QUE
6 - 0
IPS
79%
14%
8%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
IPS
1 - 3
EAS
30%
23%
47%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
LOG
4 - 1
CAP
53%
21%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
EAS
0 - 0
LOG
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
LOG
3 - 2
UNI
86%
10%
4%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
LOG
2 - 0
BRI
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
ROC
0 - 1
LOG
71%
16%
13%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |