Ipatinga FC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
40.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipatinga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
IFC
2 - 0
VIT
41%
26%
34%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
GOI
1 - 1
IFC
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
SAN
4 - 0
IFC
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
IFC
0 - 1
ATP
23%
24%
53%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
IFC
2 - 3
VIL
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
NAU
3 - 0
BOT
39%
25%
37%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
GRE
2 - 0
NAU
58%
23%
20%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
FLU
0 - 2
NAU
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
NAU
2 - 1
GOI
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
ATM
1 - 0
NAU
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |