Ipatinga FC vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipatinga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
ABC
1 - 1
IFC
33%
28%
39%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2009 |
IFC
0 - 1
FOR
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
BAH
1 - 1
IFC
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
IFC
0 - 3
POR
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 1
IFC
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 1
DUQ
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
DUQ
0 - 0
BAH
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
VAS
0 - 0
DUQ
83%
13%
4%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
DUQ
4 - 1
ARN
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 1
DUQ
78%
15%
8%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |