Ipatinga FC vs Democrata SL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipatinga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
IFC
4 - 0
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
CAL
1 - 1
IFC
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2006 |
IFC
2 - 1
VIL
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
BOA
2 - 3
IFC
43%
24%
33%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
IFC
1 - 1
AMF
54%
22%
24%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Democrata SL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
GUA
2 - 1
DEM
53%
22%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
DEM
2 - 1
DEM
39%
25%
37%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
DEM
2 - 0
CAL
26%
24%
50%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
VIL
4 - 2
DEM
69%
18%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
UBE
1 - 4
DEM
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | +3 |