Ipanema vs Penedense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
26.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipanema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2007 |
COR
4 - 3
IPA
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
IPA
0 - 1
COR
29%
24%
47%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2006 |
IPA
3 - 1
ASA
28%
24%
48%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +3 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
CSE
1 - 2
IPA
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2006 |
IPA
4 - 1
PEN
38%
24%
38%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +4 |
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2007 |
PEN
0 - 0
CSA
25%
26%
49%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
PEN
0 - 3
IGA
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2006 |
COR
4 - 0
PEN
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
PEN
0 - 1
CSA
25%
25%
50%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2006 |
IPA
4 - 1
PEN
38%
24%
38%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -2 |