Ipanema vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
47.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipanema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CSE
1 - 1
IPA
60%
21%
18%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
IPA
0 - 1
SSS
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
ASA
1 - 0
IPA
72%
18%
11%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
IPA
1 - 3
MUR
36%
27%
37%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
CSA
4 - 0
IPA
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CSA
1 - 1
CRB
23%
24%
53%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 2
CSA
49%
27%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
CSA
5 - 1
PEN
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
COR
0 - 1
CSA
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
CSA
4 - 0
IPA
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |