Ipanema vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
41.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipanema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 1
IPA
50%
22%
28%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
COR
3 - 1
IPA
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
IPA
2 - 1
ATA
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
IPA
1 - 0
MUR
25%
24%
51%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
ASA
3 - 0
IPA
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
CSA
1 - 3
COR
35%
24%
40%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ATA
3 - 2
CSA
26%
25%
49%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
CSA
0 - 2
COR
54%
23%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
CSA
2 - 1
ASA
25%
23%
52%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 2
CSA
36%
26%
39%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |