Ipanema vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipanema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
CAP
0 - 1
IPA
18%
21%
62%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
IPA
0 - 0
COR
25%
24%
51%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
IPA
3 - 0
COR
35%
26%
39%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +3 |
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
CSA
2 - 2
IPA
57%
22%
22%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
IPA
1 - 2
CAP
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
CSA
3 - 1
COR
54%
25%
22%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
CSA
0 - 1
COR
28%
25%
48%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
CSA
3 - 2
CAP
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
COR
1 - 0
CSA
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
CSA
2 - 2
IPA
57%
22%
22%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |