Ipanema vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipanema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
IPA
4 - 3
MUR
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
IGA
1 - 3
IPA
46%
23%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
IPA
0 - 2
SAN
36%
24%
39%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
MUR
2 - 2
IPA
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
CSA
3 - 1
IPA
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
CSA
0 - 1
ASA
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
CRB
1 - 1
CSA
80%
13%
7%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
CSA
3 - 1
IPA
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2008 |
CSA
2 - 1
COR
42%
27%
32%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
ASA
0 - 1
CSA
59%
24%
17%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |