Ipanema vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
63.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipanema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
COR
3 - 0
IPA
84%
11%
5%
|
31 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
IPA
1 - 0
PEN
30%
25%
45%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +3 |
| 16 Mar. 2006 |
CSA
5 - 0
IPA
76%
16%
8%
|
28 | 60 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
IPA
2 - 3
CSE
37%
25%
39%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
ASA
1 - 0
IPA
63%
19%
17%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
CSA
2 - 0
ASA
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
COR
3 - 0
CSA
40%
24%
36%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
CSA
0 - 0
COR
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
CSA
2 - 2
CRB
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
CRB
1 - 1
CSA
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |