Ipanema vs Capelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipanema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
COR
2 - 1
IPA
70%
17%
13%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 2
IPA
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
IPA
0 - 2
COR
35%
26%
39%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
IPA
0 - 3
CSA
44%
27%
30%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
IPA
4 - 3
MUR
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Capelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2009 |
CAP
1 - 1
CSA
23%
26%
52%
|
14 | 45 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1990 |
CAP
0 - 4
FLA
10%
20%
70%
|
13 | 78 | 65 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 1990 |
FLA
5 - 1
CAP
86%
11%
3%
|
14 | 78 | 64 | -1 |