Ipanema vs CRB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
59.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipanema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
CSE
3 - 1
IPA
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
IPA
2 - 1
SAN
34%
24%
42%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
IPA
55%
22%
24%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
IPA
0 - 2
CSE
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CRB
4 - 1
IPA
73%
16%
11%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
CRB
0 - 1
ASA
49%
23%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
COR
2 - 1
CRB
34%
23%
43%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
CRB
2 - 1
COR
63%
20%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
ASA
2 - 1
CRB
47%
23%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CRB
4 - 1
IPA
73%
16%
11%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |