Inverurie Loco Works vs Forres Mechanics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
11.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
10º
18º
10º
30
4º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
78 | 78 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
72 | 72 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
72 | 72 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
53 | 53 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 23 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inverurie Loco Works
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
STR
0 - 2
INV
8%
14%
78%
|
35 | 9 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
LOS
0 - 1
INV
17%
19%
64%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
INV
0 - 2
BRE
10%
18%
72%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ROT
1 - 4
INV
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
INV
6 - 0
NAI
26%
21%
53%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +4 |
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
KEI
1 - 1
FOR
34%
22%
43%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
CLA
1 - 4
FOR
39%
22%
39%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
FRA
2 - 1
FOR
88%
9%
3%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 2
DEV
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 8
BUC
4%
12%
84%
|
26 | 55 | 29 | 0 |