Invercosta Progreso vs Alquerias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Invercosta Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
INV
1 - 1
LOR
48%
23%
29%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
CEU
1 - 0
INV
56%
22%
22%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
INV
1 - 1
OLI
53%
22%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
POZ
0 - 0
INV
28%
24%
47%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
INV
1 - 2
MSM
30%
25%
45%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Alquerias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
ESP
3 - 1
ALQ
61%
21%
18%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
ALQ
1 - 0
MUL
49%
23%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
UDA
1 - 4
ALQ
37%
25%
37%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
ALQ
2 - 4
MIN
40%
25%
35%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
BUL
3 - 1
ALQ
65%
20%
16%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |