Ayacucho FC vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SPC
5 - 1
AYA
70%
18%
13%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
AYA
2 - 0
GAR
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 2
AYA
50%
23%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
AYA
3 - 2
AUR
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
AYA
1 - 1
ALI
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
COM
3 - 2
AUR
33%
26%
42%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
COM
1 - 1
SPC
27%
25%
48%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
GAR
3 - 0
COM
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
COM
1 - 0
SAN
39%
24%
38%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
COM
0 - 0
LEO
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |