Ayacucho FC vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
49.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
AYA
2 - 0
SRP
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
COM
2 - 1
AYA
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
AYA
1 - 2
ALI
31%
28%
42%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SAM
4 - 0
AYA
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
AYA
1 - 1
MUN
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SPC
3 - 0
COM
63%
21%
15%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
LAN
4 - 2
SPC
52%
24%
23%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ALI
0 - 2
SPC
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SPC
4 - 1
SRP
49%
26%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
UTC
0 - 3
SPC
37%
26%
38%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |