Ayacucho FC vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
43.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
GAR
4 - 0
AYA
61%
22%
18%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
AYA
4 - 0
SAN
42%
24%
34%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
AUR
3 - 1
AYA
59%
22%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
AYA
2 - 4
UTC
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CIE
2 - 3
AYA
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
SPC
5 - 2
COM
74%
17%
10%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SPC
3 - 0
LEO
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
GAR
1 - 1
SPC
50%
24%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
ATP
2 - 1
SPC
55%
24%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
SPC
2 - 1
ATP
46%
25%
30%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |