Ayacucho FC vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ALI
3 - 0
AYA
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
AYA
0 - 2
ALI
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
SBO
3 - 1
AYA
38%
26%
35%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
AYA
2 - 0
MEL
59%
22%
18%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
HUA
2 - 2
AYA
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SPC
1 - 0
CIE
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SPC
2 - 1
COM
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ALI
2 - 1
SPC
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
SPC
1 - 1
ALI
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SBO
0 - 1
SPC
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |