Ayacucho FC vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
34.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
GAL
0 - 3
AYA
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
AYA
2 - 1
VAL
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
AYA
3 - 2
ALI
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 1
AYA
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
UNA
1 - 1
AYA
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
SPC
4 - 0
SPO
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
AUR
0 - 0
SPC
47%
27%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
SPC
4 - 0
UNA
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 1
SPC
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SPC
1 - 1
ALI
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |