Copa Libertadores qualifying Stage 2 Final
Global 2-8
Ayacucho FC vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
52.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
GRE
6 - 1
AYA
76%
16%
9%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
AYA
1 - 4
SPC
29%
23%
48%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
SPC
2 - 1
AYA
59%
21%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
SPC
1 - 1
AYA
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
AYA
1 - 0
MAN
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 2
GRE
13%
26%
61%
|
87 | 53 | 34 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
GRE
6 - 1
AYA
76%
16%
9%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
PAL
2 - 0
GRE
57%
24%
19%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
GRE
4 - 1
BRA
82%
13%
5%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 1
PAL
47%
25%
28%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |