Ayacucho FC vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
42.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
MEL
1 - 0
AYA
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
AYA
0 - 0
CIE
44%
26%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2015 |
UTC
1 - 0
AYA
43%
27%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
AYA
2 - 1
ALI
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
COM
1 - 1
AYA
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
ALI
4 - 1
UTC
62%
23%
15%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
ALI
0 - 1
ALI
27%
28%
46%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
ALI
3 - 0
COM
45%
28%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
SPC
1 - 3
ALI
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 3
EQU
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |