Ayacucho FC vs Alianza Atl. Sullana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2017 |
COM
0 - 2
AYA
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
AYA
2 - 2
SPC
36%
26%
38%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
AYA
2 - 1
CAN
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
AYA
0 - 1
SRP
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2017 |
AYA
3 - 0
SAM
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2017 |
ALI
0 - 1
CAN
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
MEL
2 - 1
ALI
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
ALI
0 - 3
SRP
28%
29%
43%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
SPC
4 - 1
ALI
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 2
SAM
40%
26%
35%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |